Selasa, 04 Juni 2013

[K973.Ebook] PDF Ebook Supply Chain Forecasting Software, by Shaun

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Supply Chain Forecasting Software, by Shaun

This books explains the emerging technology of inventory optimization and multiechelon (MEIO) supply planning. It takes a complex subject and effectively communicates what MEIO is about in plain English terms. This is the only book currently available that describes MEIO for practitioners, rather for mathematicians or academics. The book describes with text and graphics how inventory optimization allows the entire supply plan to be controlled with service levels, and how multi echelon technology answers the question of where to locate inventory in the supply network. This is the only book on inventory optimization and multi echelon planning which compares how different best of breed vendors apply MEIO technology to their products. It also explains why this technology is so important for supply planning and why companies should be actively investigating this method. The book moves smoothly between concepts to screen shots and descriptions of how the screens are configured and used. This provides the reader with some of the most intriguing areas of functionality within a variety of applications.

  • Sales Rank: #2706998 in eBooks
  • Published on: 2012-02-01
  • Released on: 2012-02-01
  • Format: Kindle eBook

Review
Editorial ReviewsShaun's new book "Supply Chain Forecasting Software" is easy to get through, with points illustrated by screen shots from real forecasting software. The book is not a product-by-product review of the offerings of software vendors (which is what I was originally expecting). Instead, he covers several fundamental topics of a supply chain forecasting process (like statistical forecasting, consensus, collaboration, error management, and lifecycle planning). He also provides numerous links to blog posts where he goes into further detail on these and related topics. - Mike Gilleland

"Supply Chain Forecasting Software" is a fast and worthwhile read for anyone involved with business forecasting. It would be particularly valuable for organizations engaged in the selection of forecasting software, or that have implemented forecasting systems and processes, yet are failing to see the expected/promised results. This book can help any forecaster understand why their efforts may be failing, and what they can do about it.- Mike Gilleland

Shaun Snapp's interesting new book offers fresh insights for forecasting practitioners in the supply chain field. Supply Chain ForecastingSoftware (SCFS), published in 2012 by SCM Focus Press, covers areas not typically seen in either the forecasting or the supply-chain literature- namely, how the major ERP forecasting tools work, and how to make them work better. While the topic of how to improve forecasting outcomes has been covered in innumerable articles, SCFS offers greater specificity about many of the enterprise-level forecasting packages that businesses use for SCM. - Jim Hoover

From the Author
Who is This Book For? This book is an effective primer for anyone who is about to perform a demand planning software selection or who is beginning a demand planning project at their company. The book is also useful for anyone who wants to better understand forecasting software or who wants to find out about some leading edge approaches and functionalities that have yet to see broad application, but which can improve forecast accuracy.Table of Contents

  • Chapter 1: Introduction
  • Chapter 2: Where Forecasting Fits Within the Supply Chain Planning Footprint
  • Chapter 3: Statistical Forecasting Explained
  • Chapter 4: Why Attributes-based Forecasting is the Future of Statistical Forecasting
  • Chapter 5: The Statistical Forecasting Data Layer
  • Chapter 6: Removing Demand History and Outliers
  • Chapter 7: Consensus-based Forecasting Explained
  • Chapter 8: Collaborative Forecasting Explained
  • Chapter 9: Bias Removal
  • Chapter 10: Effective Forecast Error Management
  • Chapter 11: Lifecycle Planning
  • Chapter 12: Forecastable Versus Unforecastable Products 
  • Chapter 13: Why Companies Select the Wrong Forecasting Software
  • Chapter 14: Conclusion
  • Appendix A:
  • Appendix B: Forecast Locking
  • Appendix C: The Lewandowski Algorithm.

From the Inside Flap
Areas of Focus in Supply Chain Forecasting Enterprise SoftwareHere is a sampling of what the book covers:

  • Explains how consensus based forecasting software and statistical forecasting software compare to one another.
  • Why most companies are using forecasting systems which have poor hierarchical capabilities.
  • The concept of virtual hierarchies versus static hierarchies and why virtual hierarchies are so preferable.
  • Innovation in the data layer that supports forecasting applications.
  • What makes a statistical method "statistical."
  • How to perform demand forecasting for lumpy items (and how it relates to supply planning), with examples of how general demand lumpiness is increasing and reducing forecast accuracy.
  • How and why the IT department can and should be taken out of the role of maintaining the attribute database, and what this means for increasing the flexibility of the forecasting system.
  • How to enabled causal forecasting in your company using a new technique which leverages attributes rather than the traditional technique requiring placing regression formulas into the forecasting application.
  • How to easily created forecasts by customer, and how this can support service level agreements (SLAs).
  • How to quickly perform top down forecasts.
  • How different vendors approach lifecycle planning, and a novel approach to lifecycle forecasting which greatly reduces the effort involved.
  • How to determine what component of your product database is unforecasteable, and what to do about unforecastable products.
  • Why big consulting companies often cannot help you select the appropriate forecasting application for your needs.
  • How Lean applies to forecasting.
  • How the Lewandowski forecast algorithm relates to forecast simulation.
  • Why supply chain and product database simplification is critical to improving forecast accuracy.
  • Why it is important to produce a naive forecast (as a simulation) for determining how to leverage best fit functionality.
  • What is forecast simulation, and how it can improve decision-making?
  • Examples from Netflix, Blockbuster Video, Nike, Trader Joe's, the grocery industry, publishing and service parts.
  • A Book Based in Reality, Emphasizing Actionable Knowledge
The book provides many examples from real life project experiences, the emphasis being on the reality of supply chain forecasting projects. While the majority of forecasting books spend a lot of time covering forecasting methods that companies will very rarely (if ever) use, this book adjusts the content to cover topics that can be implemented by companies.Interconnected to Web InformationIn order the keep the book at a manageable and easily readable length, the book also provides numerous links out to the SCM Focus site, where supporting articles allow readers to get into more detail on topics that interest them.Case Studies The book also contains case studies of how various forecasting techniques were used on different projects.

Most helpful customer reviews

1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
Valuable considerations for forecasting software selection and implementation
By MVGilliland
In 2011 I came across Shaun Snapp's blog (scmfocus.com), and immediately took a liking. In particular, I was drawn to his independent and critical tone, and a willingness to challenge the "objectivity" of many commentators and advisors in the forecasting industry. He also takes a reasoned look at the common dogmas of our profession, with an eye to encouraging what can work, while exposing the marketing fluff and shoddy thinking of the really bad ideas. He is not just another cheerleader hyping the latest forecasting buzzword or fad.

Shaun's book "Supply Chain Forecasting Software" is easy to get through, with points illustrated by screen shots from real forecasting software. The book is not a product-by-product review of the offerings of software vendors (which is what I was originally expecting). Instead, he covers several fundamental topics of a supply chain forecasting process (like statistical forecasting, consensus, collaboration, error management, and lifecycle planning). He also provides numerous links to blog posts where he goes into further detail on these and related topics.

The chapter on attributes-based forecasting argues for the importance of flexible, user-defined hierarchies (as opposed to the static hierarchies that are defined and locked-in during implementation of many software packages.) An attribute is anything that is associated with a product, such as physical characteristic like color or size, or any other categorization (e.g. location, season, target audience). With flexible hierarchies, user can organize data, model, and generate forecasts in a way that is most suitable for the particular situation.

There is also a chapter devoted to forecastable versus unforecastable products, which is an important consideration for anyone trying to manage a supply chain. Rather than expecting to achieve a high level of accuracy for all products, or wasting resources pursuing unachievable levels of accuracy, Shaun shares ideas for identifying and dealing with the unforecastable.

"Supply Chain Forecasting Software" would be a valuable read for organizations considering the selection of new forecasting software. It would also be useful to those organizations that have implemented forecasting systems and process, yet are failing to see the expected/promised results. This book can help any forecaster understand why their efforts may be failing, and what they can do about it.

There is a more thorough review of this book by industry expert Jim Hoover (of Accenture's Federal Services Defense Practice) in the Summer 2013 issue of Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting.

2 of 2 people found the following review helpful.
Valuable Wisdom from a Seasoned Consultant
By BillT
Mr. Snapp has a keen understanding of the functional and technical approaches to demand forecasting that work (and do not work) in organizations. He is a first rate consultant in all ways and clearly puts the interests of his clients (and readers) ahead of any commercial objectives. This is quite rare and I found it very refreshing.

The book is about 250 pages long, but it is written in a conversational style and can be read in its entirety in one or two sittings. If you're considering purchasing or implementing a tool for demand planning, this would be a fast and very worthwhile read. And, if you have an older system, "Supply Chain Forecasting Software" will certainly broaden your horizons.

The book provides detailed information about a handful of bundled and standalone solutions. If developed further in future editions, I would recommend seeking information on other systems as well.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Invaluable Guide
By Olly2014
Written from an actual hands-on well-experienced SAP software engineer, this guide is an invaluable tool for anyone involved within the realm of SAP and also just to aid in a better understanding of the ins and outs of the Manufacturing Supply Chain concept, business model and modules.

Snapp utilizes real experiences from actual forecasting implementations to include clear, precise diagrams and charts to further illustrate his points.

This is a great guide within the SCM Focus series. I have gotten 3 other books within the series and with the risk of being redundant, I feel they are all invaluable.

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Senin, 03 Juni 2013

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Politics and Economic Policy in the United States, by Jeffrey Cohen

This text offers students a comprehensive overview of economic policy without a strict mathematical emphasis, making it accessible to students of political science, public policy, and business. Organized around the theme of equity versus efficiency in economic decisions, the Second Edition examines the history of economic policy, making extensive use of historical materials.

  • Sales Rank: #1249313 in Books
  • Published on: 1999-11-19
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: .60" h x 6.40" w x 9.00" l, 1.15 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 384 pages

Review
1. Politics and the Economy: Basic Themes 2. Patterns of Change in the U.S. Economy and U.S. Economic Policy 3. The Political-Economic Culture of the United States 4. Extragovernmental Actors and Economic Policy I: The Business Sector 5. Extragovernmental Actors and Economic Policy II: Labor and the Postmaterial Challenge 6. Government Institutions Responsible for Economic Policy 7. Generating Government Revenue: Taxes 8. Managing the Macroeconomy I: Fiscal Policy and the Budget 9. Managing the Macroeconomy II: Monetary Policy, Elections, and Political Business Cycles 10. Regulatory Policy I: Regulation in Theory and Practice 11. Regulatory Policy II: From Regulation to Deregulation 12. The Politics of Distributive Economic Policy 13. International Economic Policy 14. Economic Policymaking in the United States

Most helpful customer reviews

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
College Textbook
By Redgy
I used this textbook for my college Political Science class. Although the book was old and some of the information was outdated, I still preferred this book to some of my other texts. The information was explained clearly and I could understand it well. It is also organized very nicely so that I could go back and find something that I had missed without re-reading the entire chapter.

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Minggu, 19 Mei 2013

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Microwave Electronics: Measurement and Materials Characterization, by L. F. Chen, C. K. Ong, C. P. Neo, V. V. Varadan, Vijay K. Varadan

The development of high speed, high frequency circuits and systems requires an understanding of the properties of materials functioning at the microwave level. This comprehensive reference sets out to address this requirement by providing guidance on the development of suitable measurement methodologies tailored for a variety of materials and application systems. Bringing together coverage of a broad range of techniques in one publication for the first time, this book:

  • Provides a comprehensive introduction to microwave theory and microwave measurement techniques.
  • Examines every aspect of microwave material properties, circuit design and applications.
  • Presents materials property characterisation methods along with a discussion of the underlying theory.
  • Outlines the importance of microwave absorbers in the reduction in noise levels in microwave circuits and their importance within defence industry applications.
  • Relates each measurement technique to its application across the fields of microwave engineering, high-speed electronics, remote sensing and the physical sciences.

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  • Sales Rank: #2728387 in Books
  • Published on: 2004-04-16
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.88" h x 1.46" w x 7.70" l, 2.92 pounds
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 552 pages

From the Back Cover
The development of high speed, high frequency circuits and systems requires an understanding of the properties of materials functioning at the microwave level. This comprehensive reference sets out to address this requirement by providing guidance on the development of suitable measurement methodologies tailored for a variety of materials and application systems. Bringing together coverage of a broad range of techniques in one publication for the first time, this book:

  • Provides a comprehensive introduction to microwave theory and microwave measurement techniques.
  • Examines every aspect of microwave material properties, circuit design and applications.
  • Presents materials property characterisation methods along with a discussion of the underlying theory.
  • Outlines the importance of microwave absorbers in the reduction in noise levels in microwave circuits and their importance within defence industry applications.
  • Relates each measurement technique to its application across the fields of microwave engineering, high-speed electronics, remote sensing and the physical sciences.

This book will appeal to practising engineers and technicians working in the areas of RF, microwaves, communications, solid-state devices and radar. Senior students, researchers in microwave engineering and microelectronics and material scientists will also find this book a very useful reference.

Most helpful customer reviews

3 of 3 people found the following review helpful.
Great Book on Microwave NDT&E ...
By U. Hasar
Dear Candidate Buyers,

I am a Ph.D. student at the Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering in SUNY. I bought this book almost 2 months ago, and after buying from Amazon I used the book very often.

I am studying on Characterization of Dielectric Materials by a Microwave Non-Destructive method. The book is generally written good, but I do recommend this book to people studying and working on the special area of Characterization of Materials by Microwaves.

You can find in the literature lots of studies of the authors V. V. Varadan and V. K. Varadan, on characterization of materials by free-space non-destructive method. Their research group is one of the big scientic groups on Microwave NDT&E (Non-Destructive Testing and Evaluation).

As a result, I rate this book 5 out of 5, but want to notify the prospective buyers of this book that this book is written for a book on a specific subject (characterization of materials by microwaves), it is not a text book (in my opinion).

Bye

Ugur

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Skyfall (A Short Story), by Christian Edwards

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  • Published on: 2015-04-04
  • Original language: English
  • Dimensions: 9.00" h x .8" w x 6.00" l,
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 32 pages

About the Author
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Most helpful customer reviews

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Skyfall
By BigAl
A short story that sets up a unique dystopian world, introduces us to some interesting characters, and takes us through a few conflicts. The resolution of the main conflict in this story leaves the reader hanging a bit, as it sets up what appears to be the start of the planned sequel. All in all a fun little read.

**Originally written for "Books and Pals" book blog. May have received a free review copy. **

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
I really started to like it & I can't wait for Freefall to come ...
By Kassay Glass
In the beginning, I thought it was just made off of ideas from other books. Towards the end, I really started to like it & I can't wait for Freefall to come out!! For a quick in-between read, this is a good choice.

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Kamis, 09 Mei 2013

[D231.Ebook] Ebook Free Creative Metal Forming, by Betty Helen Longhi, Cynthia Eid

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Creative Metal Forming, by Betty Helen Longhi, Cynthia Eid

Two accomplished metalsmiths, both with extensive teaching careers, have joined forces to provide a comprehensive survey of the ways to form sheet metal. The 256-page text covers a huge swath, from a basic dapped disk through synclasting, anticlasting and spiculums to a raised vessel. Along the way, special attention is given to anticlastic forming and the vocabulary first introduced by their mentor, Heikki Seppä. Creative Metal Forming includes 35 detailed exercises to explain the basics and as well as advanced nuances of each category. Metalsmiths Michael Good and Nancy Linkin have each contributed demonstrations of their forming techniques.

  • Sales Rank: #84072 in Books
  • Brand: Brymorgen Press
  • Published on: 2013-10-01
  • Original language: English
  • Dimensions: 10.25" h x 8.25" w x .75" l,
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 256 pages

Most helpful customer reviews

51 of 52 people found the following review helpful.
Makes metal forming look like childsplay
By Llylesmith
My review is from the perspective of a rank beginner in forging and forming. The authors have succeeded in breaking down each technique one needs to master before moving on to pieces of increasing complexity. While there are metalsmithing books out there, this one is outstanding and I think fills a void. A few more inspirational examples would be nice, but overall the clarity of instruction is outstanding. Worth every penny.

40 of 41 people found the following review helpful.
real answers
By jb rea
I've been a silversmith and teacher for 50 years . This is the most complete work I have seen , clear and detailed material , beautifully presented , and easy to use . It will become our text in class.

41 of 44 people found the following review helpful.
A must for anticlastic raising
By Joy R.
Having been TA ( teaching assisant) to Cynthia Eid this summer, I saw all of the tools, stakes and samples that are listed in the book. It is a great reference book if you have taken a raising workshop or learned to do anticlastic raising, so that you can refer back to the book on what you know or needed a refresher. Extra tips, how to modify tools, where to get them, all that is included, which a lot of books don't necessary offer. Even how to make your own stakes tips are included.

I still haven't received my Amazon copy yet, but was able to buy one directly from Cynthia ( we teach at the same school), so I was able to start reading and referring to it.

Definitely an addition to your jewelry/metalsmithing libary.

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[Q403.Ebook] Download PDF Deathpower: Buddhism's Ritual Imagination in Cambodia, by Erik W. Davis

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Deathpower: Buddhism's Ritual Imagination in Cambodia, by Erik W. Davis

Drawing on extensive ethnographic fieldwork in Cambodia, Erik W. Davis radically reorients approaches toward the nature of Southeast Asian Buddhism's interactions with local religious practice and, by extension, reorients our understanding of Buddhism itself. Through a vivid study of contemporary Cambodian Buddhist funeral rites, he reveals the powerfully integrative role monks play as they care for the dead and negotiate the interplay of non-Buddhist spirits and formal Buddhist customs.

Buddhist monks perform funeral rituals rooted in the embodied practices of Khmer rice farmers and the social hierarchies of Khmer culture. The monks' realization of death underwrites key components of the Cambodian social imagination: the distinction between wild death and celibate life, the forest and the field, and moral and immoral forms of power. By connecting the performative aspects of Buddhist death rituals to Cambodian history and everyday life, Davis undermines the theory that Buddhism and rural belief systems necessarily oppose each other. Instead, he shows Cambodian Buddhism to be a robust tradition with ethical and popular components extending throughout Khmer society.

  • Sales Rank: #1119974 in Books
  • Published on: 2015-12-08
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 1.00" h x 6.10" w x 9.00" l, 1.25 pounds
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 320 pages

Review

Deathpower provides a compelling and provocative analysis, both reflective and challenging, that will stand the test of time. More importantly, Davis is clearly emotionally and intellectually invested in his work. His care for Cambodia and its people is a model of responsible and sincere scholarship.

(Justin McDaniel, University of Pennsylvania)

In an original and thought-provoking book, Erik W. Davis studies the Cambodian social imagination of the wild and savage in relation to moral and hierarchical civilization based on water and rice, providing a rich interpretive ethnography connecting death and death rituals, kingship, agriculture, fertility, monasticism and monastic robes, gifts, hungry ghosts, witchcraft, boundaries, violence, and much else besides. Throughout he considers the interrelationship of what are called 'Buddhism' and 'Brahmanism.'

(Steven Collins, University of Chicago)

In this capacious and intricate book, Davis tells us how Cambodian Buddhists domesticate 'death power' by ritually linking rebirth to the agricultural cycle and by empowering Buddhist monks to confront, bind, and overwhelm the wild spirits that spring into the world when anyone dies. His fresh, wide-ranging findings make this an invaluable book, and his often luminous style makes it a reader's feast.

(David Chandler, Monash University)

Davis's beautifully written and provocative examination of the ritual power that allows the living to care for and transform the dead is not only a significant addition to literature on Buddhist funerary practices, it is also the most perceptive, meticulous, informative, and important study of contemporary Cambodian Buddhism to date. Davis's book will be a classic for its fascinating theoretical treatment of the religious imaginary in Cambodia and for its humane consideration of death and all it involves.

(Anne Hansen, University of Wisconsin-Madison)

A significant contribution to the anthropological study of death.... [Davis] goes much further than funerary practices to shed light on witchcraft, gift exchange, the nature and circulations of rumor, rituals of sovereignty, and the acquisition of various forms of power.... Valuable for serious students of anthropology, Buddhism, and Southeast Asia.... Highly recommended.

(Choice)

One thing I love about this book is the way in which Davis's sophisticated analysis is complemented by his gifts as a storyteller.

(Buddhadharma)

About the Author

Erik W. Davis is associate professor of religious studies at Macalester College. His research interests include contemporary religious movements, spirit possession, and the ritualization of ethnic boundaries.

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Senin, 06 Mei 2013

[G516.Ebook] Ebook Free HTML, CSS & JavaScript Web Publishing in One Hour a Day, Sams Teach Yourself: Covering HTML5, CSS3, and jQuery (7th Edition), by Laura Lem

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HTML, CSS & JavaScript Web Publishing in One Hour a Day, Sams Teach Yourself: Covering HTML5, CSS3, and jQuery (7th Edition), by Laura Lem

Thoroughly revised and updated with examples rewritten to conform to HTML5, CSS3, and contemporary web development practices, this easy-to-understand, step-by-step tutorial helps you quickly master the basics of HTML and CSS before moving on to more advanced topics such as graphics, video, and interactivity with JavaScript and jQuery. 
In just one hour a day, you’ll learn the skills you need to design, create, and maintain a professional-looking website. 

  • No previous experience required. By following each short, one-hour lesson in this book, anyone can learn the basics of web development.
  • Learn at your own pace. You can work through each lesson sequentially to make sure you thoroughly understand all the concepts and methodologies, or you can focus on specific lessons to learn the techniques that interest you most.
  • Test your knowledge. Each lesson ends with a Workshop section filled with questions, answers, and exercises for further study.
Learn how to...
  • Fully implement the HTML5 and CSS3 standards
  • Work with text and create links
  • Add images and graphics to your page
  • Use CSS to style a site and position elements on a page
  • Structure a page with HTML5 
  • Use responsive web design to make your pages look good on different-sized screens
  • Use JavaScript to add dynamic elements and interactivity on your pages
  • Leverage jQuery to add JavaScript features to your pages
  • Design for the mobile web
  • Get your site online and let people know it’s there
  • Optimize your site for search engines
Contents at a Glance
PART I: Getting Started 1 What Is Web Publishing 2 Getting Your Tools in Order 3 Introducing HTML and CSS
PART II: Creating Web Pages 4 Learning the Basics of HTML  5 Organizing Information with Lists 6 Working with Links
PART III: Doing More with HTML and CSS 7 Formatting Text with HTML and CSS 8 Using CSS to Style a Site 9 Using Images on Your Web Pages 10 Building Tables 11 Using CSS to Position Elements on a Page 12 Designing Forms 13 Structuring a Page with HTML5 14 Integrating Multimedia: Video and Sound 15 Advanced CSS: Page Layout in CSS 16 Using Responsive Web Design
PART IV: Using JavaScript and jQuery 17 Introducing JavaScript 18 Using jQuery 19 Using JavaScript in Your Pages 20 Working with Frames and Linked Windows
PART V: Designing for Everyone 21 Designing for the Mobile Web 22 Designing for User Experience
PART VI: Going Live on the Web 23 How to Publish Your Site 24 Taking Advantage of the Server 25 Search Engines and SEO

  • Sales Rank: #539285 in Books
  • Published on: 2016-01-10
  • Released on: 2015-12-31
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.00" h x 1.60" w x 6.90" l, .0 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 768 pages

Most helpful customer reviews

3 of 4 people found the following review helpful.
Five Stars
By Donna J. Lutheran
very good book on HTML design

1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
Five Stars
By Edward J.K
Everything as described.

2 of 3 people found the following review helpful.
So far so good, I've not gotten very far in the text ...
By tommyepoi
So far so good, I've not gotten very far in the text yet, but what I've read is easy to follow, makes sense and works when put into practice.

See all 8 customer reviews...

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